February 1, 2017 by John Crapper
There are many forces standing in the way of making progress on climate change. The opposition falls mainly into three different groups.
Their job is
a) telling you what to think,
b) telling you what to do and
c) telling you which choices you have.
Cynics are expert pessimists. Their argument can be boiled down to one succinct sentence: Bend over and kiss your ass goodbye.
They stand ready to give all kinds of reasons why it won’t work. They tell you everything they think is wrong with your ideas.
Silver-bullet technocratic scientific types are “we’ll solve climate change so “don’t worry about it” people. There is always a new innovation on the horizon promising inexhaustible cheap energy. There is no reason to worry. We are at the cusp of climate change’s resolution.
Nuclear fusion is one of the most prominent solutions promised by the silver bullet bunch. Here is the latest from that bunch.
Nuclear fusion is the promise of building technology that would replicate the reaction of our Sun.
The process would produce clean energy drawn from an almost limitless fuel source, with nearly zero carbon emissions. Although being promised many times before that it is right around the corner, it has yet to be done on a scale that would make it usable.
Canadian scientists are raising our hopes once again, announcing plans to harness and develop nuclear fusion technology so they can deliver a working nuclear fusion plant prototype by 2030.
According to Fusion 2030, a report prepared by the University of Alberta, the University of Saskatchewan, and several companies, the group will need around $125 million to bring nuclear fusion to reality — a relatively minor investment considering the goal is to establish an operational, scalable plant that could soon replace oil and gas.
“There’s an opportunity here … we need to see an investment in research capacity and academia in order to make sure we’re producing the graduates with the skills that can contribute in this field,” Michael Delage, Chief Technology Officer of General Fusion, the second largest private fusion lab in North America, tells CBC News.
They go on to say:
“The clean energy source is available just about anywhere in the world — you can extract it from water. It’s something that we can build anywhere,” says Delage. “There is so much going on in this field across the world. We really believe by 2030 we’re going to see demonstration plants being built. We’d love to see that in Canada, and we could get there if we start to invest now.”
So in 13 years they really believe there will be a demonstration plant built. Sit back folks. Don’t worry. Science has this problem under control and they’re well on their way to solving the problem. You’re in good hands. No reason to worry.
According to a timeline I’ve been working on the effects of climate change start to cause us major problems around the year 2030 and things really start falling apart during the 2040 to 2050 decade.
Here is some of what is projected to happen up until the year 2030.
Flash floods increase across all parts of Europe. Less rainfall reduces agriculture yields by up to 50 percent in some parts of the world.
World population reaches 7.7 billion people.
Hubbert’s Peak or peak oil level is reached. Global oil production begins an irreversible decline, triggering a global recession, food shortages and conflict between nations over dwindling oil supplies.
Manokwari, the largest and capital city of the West Papua, Indonesia is the first city in the world to hit climate departure.*
*A city hits “climate departure” when the average temperature of its coolest year from then on is projected to be warmer than the average temperature of its hottest year between 1960 and 2005. For example, let’s say the climate departure point for D.C. is 2047 (which it is). After 2047, even D.C.’s coldest year will still be hotter than any year from before 2005. Put another way, every single year after 2047 will be hotter than D.C.’s hottest year on record from 1860 to 2005. It’s the moment when the old “normal” is really gone.
2023 – Kingston the capital and largest city of Jamaica and Ngerulmud the capital of Palau become the next two cities to hit climate departure.*
2028 – Singapore hits climate departure*
2029 – Jakarta, Georgetown and Lagos hit climate departure.*
Diarrhea-related diseases increase by up to 5 percent in low-income parts of the world.
Up to 18 percent of the world’s coral reefs are lost as a result of climate change and other environmental stresses.
In Asian coastal waters, the coral loss reaches 30 percent.
World population reaches 8.4 billion people.
Warming temperatures causes temperate glaciers on equatorial mountains in Africa to disappear.
In developing countries, the urban population more than doubles to about 4 billion people, packing more people onto a given city’s land area. The urban populations of developed countries increase by 20 percent.
The Arctic Sea is ice-free in the summer.
In China lung disease kills over 80 million people due to the long term effects of pollution.
If that prototype is built, as currently being promised, and it works as promised, how long would it take to build all the fusion plants necessary to meet our power needs?