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Time Waits for No One and Time Has Come Today

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March 23, 2017 by John Crapper

Time waits for no  one.  I was born in 1951.  Read on to see why I bring this up.

 

“Time”

Ticking away the moments that make up a dull day
Fritter and waste the hours in an off-hand way
Kicking around on a piece of ground in your home town
Waiting for someone or something to show you the way

Tired of lying in the sunshine staying home to watch the rain
You are young and life is long and there is time to kill today
And then one day you find ten years have got behind you
No one told you when to run, you missed the starting gun

And you run and you run to catch up with the sun but it’s sinking
Racing around to come up behind you again
The sun is the same in a relative way, but you’re older
Shorter of breath and one day closer to death

Every year is getting shorter, never seem to find the time
Plans that either come to naught or half a page of scribbled lines
Hanging on in quiet desperation is the English way
The time is gone, the song is over, thought I’d something more to say

Home, home again
I like to be here when I can
When I come home cold and tired
It’s good to warm my bones beside the fire
Far away, across the field
The tolling of the iron bell
Calls the faithful to their knees
To hear the softly spoken magic spell

Tick tock, tick tock, tick tock, …

According to a timeline I’ve been working on the effects of climate change really start to cause us major problems around the year 2030 and really start falling apart during the 2040 to 2050 decade.

A person with a birthdate of

2017 will be 13 years old in 2030 and 43 in 2050

2007 will be 23 years old in 2030 and 53 in 2050

1997 will be 33 years old in 2030 and 63 in 2050

1987 will be 43 years old in 2030 and 73 in 2050

1977 will be 53 years old in 2030 and 83 in 2050

1967 will be 63 years old in 2030 and 93 in 2050

1957 will be 73 years old in 2030 and 103 in 2050

1947 will be 83 years old in 2030

1937 will be 93 years old in 2030

1927 will be 103 years old in 2030

It is extremely difficult for scientist to make a firm causal relationship with any individual event but there is general agreement that climate change is amplifying the following.

  • Droughts
  • Heat waves
  • Storms
  • Flooding
  • Migration of diseases
  • Glacier melt
  • Polar ice sheet collapse
  • Coral bleaching
  • Ocean oxygen loss, acidification and suffocation
  • Accelerating sea level rise

In researching a book I’m writing I’ve been collecting prognostications about climate change. These have been gathered over time from numerous sources and I’m constantly updating it.   But they are projections and hence a best guess as to what is in our collective future.

I must confess that during the time I have been compiling these predictions the timeframe has been trending towards an acceleration of events rather than an elongation of them.

I challenge you to plug yourself into it and contemplate just what priority you should assign the issue.

It starts out in our recent past then projects out all the way until the year 2200.

The Timeframe

 

2008

In 2008 Arctic sea ice hit its second lowest summer ice extent on record (the lowest extent was in 2007).

A massive chunk of ice breaks away from Greenland’s Petermann Glacier.

Several breakups of ice shelves in Antarctica are observed. (NSIDC; Jason Box, Ohio State University; ESA, NSIDC)

The Bush Administration enacts changes to the Endangered Species Act that affect reviews of government projects.

Polar bears and beluga whales are placed on the Endangered Species List.

2009

The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency declares carbon dioxide and other heat-trapping gases to be pollutants under the Clean Air Act.

An ice bridge connected to the Wilkins Ice Sheet of Antarctica breaks apart.

Many of the world’s major rivers are found to be losing water. (Aiguo Dai, NCAR, Journal of Climate)

2010

China becomes the largest energy consumer in the world, overtaking the USA.  China added 15,000 cars to its roads every day and a new power plant every week.

2012

The first phase of the Kyoto Protocol, an international environmental treaty created to limit the production of greenhouse gases, expires. Nations will have to draw up and enact a successor treaty to further limit emissions, should they choose to do so.

2013

The amount of carbon pollution has already locked in more than 4 feet of sea level rise past 2013 levels. That is enough, at high tide, to submerge more than half of 2013’s population in 316 coastal cities.

2015

Pope Francis releases his192 page encyclical on combating human climate change in June.

Paris Climate Agreement negotiated by representatives of 195 countries adopted in December.

2016

Paris Climate Agreement opened for signature by agreeing countries in April.

In October 2016 there were enough signatures for it to go into force.

During the 2016 presidential campaign Donald Trump the Republican nominee vows to pull the U.S. out of the Paris Agreement.

Donald Trump is elected President in November.

Projections

2020

Flash floods increase across all parts of Europe. Less rainfall reduces agriculture yields by up to 50 percent in some parts of the world.

World population reaches 7.7 billion people.

Hubbert’s Peak or peak oil level is reached. Global oil production begins an irreversible decline, triggering a global recession, food shortages and conflict between nations over dwindling oil supplies.

Manokwari, the largest and capital city of the West Papua, Indonesia is the first city in the world to hit climate departure.*

*A city hits “climate departure” when the average temperature of its coolest year from then on is projected to be warmer than the average temperature of its hottest year between 1960 and 2005. For example, let’s say the climate departure point for D.C. is 2047 (which it is). After 2047, even D.C.’s coldest year will still be hotter than any year from before 2005. Put another way, every single year after 2047 will be hotter than D.C.’s hottest year on record from 1860 to 2005. It’s the moment when the old “normal” is really gone.

2023 – Kingston the capital and largest city of Jamaica and Ngerulmud the capital of Palau become the next two cities to hit climate departure.*

2028 – Singapore hits climate departure*

2029 – Jakarta, Georgetown and Lagos hit climate departure.*

2030

Diarrhea-related diseases increase by up to 5 percent in low-income parts of the world.

Up to 18 percent of the world’s coral reefs are lost as a result of climate change and other environmental stresses.

In Asian coastal waters, the coral loss reaches 30 percent.

World population reaches 8.4 billion people.

Warming temperatures causes temperate glaciers on equatorial mountains in Africa to disappear.

In developing countries, the urban population more than doubles to about 4 billion people, packing more people onto a given city’s land area. The urban populations of developed countries increase by 20 percent.

The Arctic Sea is ice-free in the summer.

In China lung disease kills over 80 million people due to the long term effects of pollution.

2031 – Mexico City hits climate departure.*

2033 – Bogota hits climate departure.*

2034 – Mumbai hits climate departure*

2036 – Cairo and Nairobi hit climate departure.*

2037 – Alpine glaciers disappear completely.

2038 – Sydney, Lima and Cape Town hit climate departure.*

2040 – World Population hits over 9 billion.

2042 – Taipei and Seoul hit climate departure.*

2043 – Phoenix, Santiago. Pretoria and Honolulu hit climate departure.*

2044 – Rome hits climate departure.*

2045 – Kabul hits climate departure.*

2046 – Beijing and Bangkok hit climate departure.*

2047 – D.C. and New York hit climate departure.*

2048 – Los Angeles hits climate departure.*

2050

The Amazon rainforest is threatened not only by illegal deforestation, but also the effects of drought and climate change. Under a “business as usual” scenario, nearly half of the jungle is be destroyed. and it could be almost entirely gone by 2100.

More than 2,000 native tree species face extinction.

World population reaches 9.5 billion people.

Some 70% of polar bears disappear due to the shrinking of Arctic ice caused by global warming.

Large glaciers shrink by 30 to 70 percent.

Ocean acidification kills off most coral reefs.

One of the world’s most beautiful natural wonders, the Great Barrier Reef disappears .

At least 400 bird species become extinct due to deforestation and climate change.

In Australia, there is an additional 3,200 to 5,200 heat-related deaths per year. Hardest hit are people over the age of 65.

An extra 500 to 1,000 people die of heat-related deaths in New York City per year.

In the United Kingdom, the opposite occurs, and cold-related deaths outpace heat-related ones.

All amphibians in Europe are extinct.

Crop yields shift increasing by up to 20 percent in East and Southeast Asia, while decreasing by up to 30 percent in Central and South Asia. Similar shifts in crop yields occur on other continents.

As biodiversity hotspots are more threatened, a quarter of the world’s plant and vertebrate animal species face extinction.

Rio de Janeiro hits climate departure.*

2052 – Chicago hits climate departure.*

2054 – Ulan Bator hits climate departure.*

2055 – Seattle hits climate departure.*

2056 – London hits climate departure.*

2060 – By 2060 the following cities were listed as being severely devastated by rising seas.

Miami, USA

Guangzhou, P.R. of China

New York-Newark, USA

Kolkata, India

Shanghai, P.R. of China

Mumbai, India

Tianjin, P.R. of China

Tokyo, Japan

Hong Kong, P.R. of China

Bangkok, Thailand

Ningbo, P.R. of China

New Orleans, USA

Osaka-Kobe, Japan

Amsterdam, The Netherlands

Rotterdam, The Netherlands

Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam

Nagoya, Japan

Qingdao, China

Virginia Beach, USA

Alexandria, Egypt

Rangoon, Myanmar

Hai Phòng, Vietnam

Khulna, Bangladesh

Lagos, Nigeria

Abidjan, Cote D’Ivoire

Chittagong, Bangladesh

Jakarta, Indonesia

Extinctions peak with 0.5% of the world’s animal and plant species disappearing every year.

World population reaches 9.9 billion

2063 – Moscow hits climate departure.*

2064 – St. Petersburg hits climate departure.*

2066 – Reykjavik hits climate departure.*

2070

World population reaches 10.2 billion

As glaciers disappear and areas affected by drought increase, electricity production for the world’s existing hydropower stations decrease.

Hardest hit is Europe, where hydropower potential declines on average by 6 percent; around the Mediterranean, the decrease is up to 50 percent.

Warmer, drier conditions lead to more frequent and longer droughts, as well as longer fire-seasons, increased fire risks, and more frequent heat waves, especially in Mediterranean regions.

2071 – Anchorage hits climate departure.*

2080

World population reaches 10.5 billion

While some parts of the world dry out, others get inundated.

Up to 20 percent of the world’s populations live in river basins and are affected by increased flood hazards.

Up to 100 million people experience coastal flooding each year. Most at risk are densely populated and low-lying areas that are less able to adapt to rising sea levels and areas which already face other challenges such as tropical storms.

Coastal populations balloon to 5 billion people, up from 1.2 billion in 1990.

Between 1.1 and 3.2 billion people experience water shortages and up to 600 million go hungry.

Sea levels rise around New York City by more than three feet, flooding the Rockaways, Coney Island, much of southern Brooklyn and Queens, portions of Long Island City, Astoria, Flushing Meadows-Corona Park, Queens, lower Manhattan and eastern Staten Island from Great Kills Harbor north to the Verrazano-Narrows Bridge.

2085 – The risk of dengue fever from climate change increases to 3.5 billion people.

2090 – World population reaches 10.7 billion

2100

World population reaches 10.8 billion

Global average temperature rises to 6°C (10°F) by 2100.

Carbon dioxide concentrations reach 1000 parts per million (ppm).

By the start of the century, global climate emissions increased, to lock in 23 feet of sea level rise, threatening 1,429 municipalities in the U.S. alone.

A combination of global warming and other factors push many ecosystems to the limit, forcing them to exceed their natural ability to adapt to climate change.

Atmospheric carbon dioxide levels are much higher than anytime during the past 650,000 years.

Ocean pH levels decrease by 0.5 pH units, the lowest it’s been in the last 20 million years.

The ability of marine organisms such as corals, crabs and oysters to form shells or exoskeletons is impaired.

Thawing permafrost and other factors make Earth’s land a net source of carbon emissions, meaning it emits more carbon dioxide into the atmosphere than it absorbs.

Roughly 20 to 30 percent of species assessed as of 2007 are extinct by 2100.

New climate zones appear on up to 39 percent of the world’s land surface, radically transforming the planet.

A quarter of all species of plants and land animals—more than a million total— are driven to extinction.

Due to climate change and food scarcity, up to 30% of bird species go extinct.

Polar bears go extinct.

Increased droughts significantly reduce moisture levels in the American Southwest, northern Mexico and parts of Europe, Africa and the Middle East, effectively recreating the “Dust Bowl” environments of the 1930s in the United States.

The Amazon rain forrest is almost entirely gone. More than 2,000 native tree species face extinction.

2200 – Scientific projection An Earth day is now 0.12 milliseconds shorter, as rising temperatures cause oceans to expand away from the equator and toward the poles. Water in the oceans shift toward the poles so the poles are closer to the Earth’s axis of rotation, which causes them to speed up the planet’s rotation.

 

Time has Come Today

I have to roam
I’ve got no home
My mind is blown
The truth is unknown!
Time has come
Time has come today
Time has come
Time has come today
I have no place to stay
Thinking about the subway
The rules have changed today
This world is blown away!
Time has come
Time has come today
Time has come
Time has come today
I have no home
I have no home
I have no home!
No place to run
I’m staring at the sun
Thinking about the subway
This world is blown away!
Time has come
Time has come today
Time has come

 

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Our climate is changing. I'm humorously serious about addressing it. I'm convinced my ego is the main culprit. My religion, Holy Shitters, demands I humble myself and celebrate the fact my shit stinks.
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